Oil Prices Jump On Concern Over Global Economic Slowdown

March 18, 2025
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Oil prices rose slightly on Monday following concern over a global economic slowdown driven by escalating trade tension between the United States and other nations.

Brent futures rose 41 cents or 0.6%, to stand at $70.99 a barrel by 0336 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 40 cents, or 0.6%, to $67.58 a barrel.

The price of the OPEC basket of twelve crudes stood at $72,55 a barrel on Wednesday, compared with $72,14 the previous day, according to OPEC Secretariat’s latest calculations.

The United States had vowed to keep attacking Yemen’s Houthis until the Iran-aligned group ends its assaults on shipping.

The U.S. airstrikes, which the Houthi-run health ministry said killed at least 53 people, are the biggest U.S. military operation in the Middle East since President Donald Trump took office in January.

Houthi attacks on shipping in the Red Sea have disrupted global commerce and set off a costly campaign by the U.S. military to intercept missiles and drones.

Both benchmarks pared some gains after rising more than 1% in early Asian trade as China reported a mixed start to the year. Industrial output slowed in January-February, while retail sales growth accelerated slightly, government data showed on Monday.

The state council, or cabinet, unveiled what it called a “special action plan” on Sunday in a bid to boost domestic consumption and economic recovery amid a burst of U.S. trade tariffs against China, among key trading partners.

That effort has threatened to upset the global trade order.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs cut oil price forecasts, saying they expected the U.S. economy to grow slower than expected, due to the tariffs imposed on countries such as Canada, China, and Mexico.

“We reduce by $5 our December 2025 forecast for Brent to $71/bbl (WTI to $67), our Brent range to $65 to $80, and our 2026 average forecast to $68 for Brent (WTI to $64),” the analysts said in a note quoted by Reuters.

Oil demand was expected to grow at a slower pace than previously expected, while supply from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) was expected to exceed forecasts, the Goldman analysts said.

U.S. consumer sentiment plunged to a nearly 2-1/2-year low in March and inflation expectations have soared amid worries that Trump’s sweeping tariffs would boost prices and undercut the economy.

U.S. Federal Reserve officials meeting next week are expected to leave the benchmark overnight interest rate in the range of 4.25% to 4.50%, having reduced it by 100 basis points since September, as they weigh the economic impact of the administration’s policies.

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